Paul Craig

Scottish submission savant Paul Craig got utterly stymied in his first main event opportunity, and his second middleweight fight in the UFC, when he ran into Brendan Allen. Craig still is ranked at 185-lbs and should fight another ranked middleweight with his 1-1 divisional record.

The only option ranked under him currently who is not booked is Anthony ‘Fluffy’ Hernandez. ‘Fluffy’ has a similar style to Brendan Allen in some ways; he can strikes but prefers to press forward, wrestle, and hunt a finish on the ground. Craig is more than willing to engage their due to his jiu-jitsu, but has been beaten there a few times now. To stay ranked he will need to prove he can grow as a fighter and overcome this hurdle.

Craig’s Next Fight: Anthony Hernandez

Jake Matthews

Matthews continued his recent streak of trading wins and losses when he lost by decision to undefeated prospect Michael Morales in UFC Vegas 82’s co-main event. The Australian has been a mainstay of the UFC welterweight division for a long time, building an impressive 12-7 record in the promotion. He has long put on exciting fights, making him a man consistently tapped for relatively big fights given his unranked status.

He will have to rebound from this loss, but the options are endless. Fighters like Max Griffin, Santiago Ponzinibbio, and Daniel Rodriguez have all lost two of their last three fights, just like Jake. All of these fighters could make for an exciting striking battle but also have well-rounded skills. Perhaps most sensible would be Max “Pain” Griffin, who also lost to Michael Morales in his last fight, putting him and Jake on a relatively even playing field in terms of their divisional position.

Matthews’ Next Fight: Max Griffin

Jordan Leavitt

Jordan ‘The Monkey King’ Leavitt chased a leg lock against submission specialist Chase Hooper, got his back taken, and got choked out to lose. He took it in good spirits as ever, made easier by his still-winning record in the UFC of 4-3. Leavitt could fight any number of athletes in the stacked lightweight waters.

Chilean fighter Ignacio Bahamondes has a similar record in the UFC of 3-2, but brings an entirely different style to the table with his electric kickboxing. That fight would be a true clash of styles and give one man back an upward trajectory in the division after both lost their last fight.

Leavitt’s Next Fight: Ignacio Bahamondes

Nick Aguirre

Aguirre had success early but ultimately lost to prospect Payton Talbott in his second of two UFC bouts. His back is against the wall now and he will need to win his next fight in order to keep his job with the promotion. He will be matched against a fellow inexperienced fighter again, many of whom just won contracts on the newest season of Dana White’s Contender Series.

Victor Hugo was meant to debut two weeks ago against Daniel Marcos but his weight miss caused the bout to be canceled. Marcos still needs to compete in his first UFC fight, and if he can get his weight in order then perhaps Aguirre would be a good opponent.

Aguirre’s Next Fight: Victor Hugo

Luana Pinheiro

Ninth-ranked strawweight Luana Pinheiro lost for the first time in the UFC to hard-nosed veteran Amanda Ribas. After comfortably winning the first round, Pinheiro lost all momentum as Ribas’ pace, pressure, and toughness wore her down until Amanda got the finish in the third. Pinheiro still has a future at strawweight, especially since the fight before this was a win over veteran contender Michelle Waterson-Gomez, but will probably need to dip her toes into the unranked waters before coming back to fighting ranked foes.

Two unranked strawweights on two-fight UFC winning streaks are Loma Lookboonmee and Viktoria Dudakova. Lookboonmee is a Muay Thai specialist who is developing a well-rounded skillset and got her first career submission in her last fight. Dudakova is undefeated at 8-0, two fights into her UFC contract. With under ten fights, perhaps it would be better to build Viktoria up slower and give Lookboonmee the opportunity to fight for a ranked spot against Pinheiro.

Pinheiro’s Next Fight: Loma Lookboonmee

Uroš Medić

Uroš Medić’s two-fight winning streak was snapped as he lost for the first time in his new division, welterweight, against short notice debutant Myktybek Orolbai Uulu. Medić old weakness to grappling got exposed as the Kygystani fighter took him down and submitted the Serb in the second round.

Medić’s fight before this one still proved he can be a force in the division as he beat the more experienced and strongly favored Matt Semelsberger in an all-out war. Uroš has shown to be all-action, just like fellow welterweight Li Jingliang, who would make a perfect opponent for his next fight coming off of his loss to Daniel Rodriguez. No matter what card it appears on, that fight would be a surefire ‘Fight of the Night’ shortlist member.

Medić’s Next Fight: Li Jingliang

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Allen has positioned himself as a potential future title challenger with his 10-2 UFC record and six-fight winning streak. The Louisiana native has an incredibly well-rounded skillset, able to finish the fight with his fists or his jiu-jitsu. He ran into a man who is much the opposite, a lethal weapon with his BJJ but with less than stellar striking, the Scotsman Paul Craig. Craig had been a light-heavyweight his whole career until he moved down in early 2023. His first middleweight fight was a success as he finished fellow BJJ ace Andre Muniz. The ‘Bearjew’ looked to continue that and push into the top end at 185-lbs.

The fight began as a low-paced striking match; Allen landed a few decent punches and missed some bigger ones. He clinched up with Craig a minute in and landed some knees but Craig pushed Allen to the fence and went for a takedown. Allen responded with a hip throw that placed Paul firmly on the mat. Brendan almost got back mount but settled in half-guard. Craig went for a calf slicer from bottom which almost gave Allen a chance to get a rear-naked choke, but he instead went for a leg lock which gave Paul a chance to get to his feet. However on the feet Allen just lifted and threw the Scotsman to the mat again. Allen got on top in the guard of Craig and used the can opener to make him uncomfortable while controlling him until the end of the round.

An early striking exchange went Allen’s way in round two and that caused Craig to simply pull guard, which Brendan Allen obliged. From on top he landed a big elbow that split open Paul’s eyebrow. Blood flowed onto the mat as Allen completed a strong pass to half-guard and then full mount. Craig managed to regain half-guard, which saved him from the arm triangle attempt that Allen put on him. Despite failing at his submission, Allen still rained down sharp elbows and short punches while maintaining a low and heavy top control. Brendan got a late back-take and choke attempt, which was halted by the end-of-round buzzer.

The third round began with Allen smacking Craig with a right hand. Allen crashed into the clinch and locked up a guillotine choke. He dropped down on it but Craig got his head out. However the Scotsman was wilting by this point and Allen easily transitioned to a back take. The rear-naked choke came quick and Paul Craig was forced to tap.

A six-fight winning streak gives Brendan Allen one of the best arguments at a title fight if he can get one more win against a top-five contender. He has finished five out of six fights on this winning streak and will surely find himself with a significantly higher ranking at middleweight come the rankings update on Tuesday.

Official Result: Brendan Allen def. Paul Craig by Submission (rear-naked choke), Round 1, 0:38 

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Ribas was once 4-0 in the UFC, but has traded losses and wins every fight since then to fall to 6-3. Though that is still a respectable record which has her ranked at both strawweight and flyweight, at thirty years old Ribas needs to stack a winning streak together starting now in order to get to a title fight. She could do that at either 115 or 125-lbs potentially, but in this fight she moved back down in weight after her recent loss to Maycee Barber at flyweight. On the other hand, Pinheiro sat where Ribas did in 2020, undefeated in the UFC with tons of momentum and the number nine next to her name. She had not lost since 2017 as a matter of fact, but Ribas took exception to that and walked out of the Apex with a win at the end of the night.

Both women started the fight swinging but especially Pinheiro, who landed on Ribas early and hurt her. Ribas retreated and the onslaught eventually stopped, giving her time to recover. Pinheiro still landed wild hooks every time that she let her hands go, as Amanda’s head was always on the center line. The pace slowed and Pinheiro picked her spots judiciously as she began to mix in leg kicks and avoiding the little offensive output that Ribas provided. Just past halfway through the round Ribas had a moment when she landed three good punches that stunned Luana momentarily, but Pinheiro recovered and got back to her gameplan. Her footwork and head movement was on point and Ribas could hardly land a glove on her most of the time. Ribas failed a takedown with one minute left but otherwise the same dynamic played out for the rest of the round.

The second round began with Ribas pressing forward again and Pinheiro evading, but this time Luana had far fewer moments where she dealt major damage to Ribas. Ribas added kicks to her attack and it served to deal damage when she could not reach with her hands. Pinheiro even attempted a takedown of her own with two minutes left as she began to slow down. She got in on a single leg but Ribas pushed her off and threw up a head kick that just missed as Pinheiro stood up. Amanda began to find success with her hands at last but then Pinheiro began to open up with hers again somewhat. Still, when the round ended it was certainly one that went to Amanda Ribas, who defended one last takedown right before the horn.

The final round in a presumably tied-up fight saw Pinheiro fight for momentum early, coming forward with punches more and throwing kicks of her own. The pace and volume of Ribas clearly still troubled her, but her defense allowed her to stay safe for the most part. Pinheiro failed another takedown but this time landed a knee on the break to score damage. One sequence saw Ribas land a backfist, eat a hook, and get thrown by Pinheiro. She bounced back to her feet but Pinheiro jumped on a front headlock, then try to take the back before settling in full guard. Luana pushed Ribas up against the fence but Amanda seemed more interested in striking off her back. However when she began to lock up an omoplata submission and Pinheiro was forced to withdraw, Ribas got back to her feet. There, she continued her relentless volume assault.

Pinheiro’s fatigue meant her defense had broken down completely and she ate every strike thrown at her, including a spinning wheel kick. Eventually she could not take it any longer and fell to her back, exhausted and badly hurt. The referee stopped the fight after only a few ground strikes to a semi-conscious Pinheiro.

Amanda Ribas showed at UFC Vegas 82 why she has won so many fights against good fighters, once again displaying true veteran grit and will to win. Despite being outclassed early on, she doubled down on her offense and just went forward harder until she broke her opponent. She will surely be in the running for a performance bonus at the end of the night, and can look ahead in the rankings to plan her assault on the throne now with a win back at strawweight.

Official Result: Amanda Ribas def. Luana Pinheiro by TKO (punches), Round 3, 3:53

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Pearce, aka “JSP,” started the night on a five-fight win streak, one of the hottest prospects in the weight class, while Brito came in on a three-fight run. JSP is known for a pressure and cardio-heavy wrestling game while Brito is known as a heavy-handed Brazilian who can grapple as a backup option. Many questions abounded. Would Brito’s cardio fail over fifteen minutes vs Pearce? Could Pearce stand with Brito? Would Brito be able to stay off his back?

JSP shot a takedown almost immediately but Brito defended with a guillotine choke and got an advantageous clinch position. Brito then surprised with a double leg takedown of his own, which he landed by lifting and slamming Pearce onto his back. JSP gave up his back to get up and Brito went for the back take. However, he fell off over the top and Pearce established side control. Brito regained full-guard. Pearce got high and attempted a front choke but Brito wrestled up and stood up halfway through the round.

As they got to striking Brito threw bombs but could not land anything. Pearce timed a takedown well but Brito’s takedown defense held up. Jonathan managed to maintain an outside position which let him control Joanderson in the clinch, but when he tried to pull Brito down, the Brazilian got on top. Brito had to avoid an armbar and the second he escaped that Pearce wrestled up and ended the round back on the feet.

Pearce landed an easy takedown to start the second round, perhaps a sign of Brito slowing down. Brito could not get him off as JSP controlled him from full guard. Brito began to try to punch off his back, at which point Pearce complained to the ref about strikes to the back of the head. Joanderson made a scoffing noise, causing Pearce to mock him, shouting, “Get up and do something, boy!”

Brito did begin to try to get up by first getting to a knee then standing back up fully. They grappled in the clinch for a moment before Brito threw his arms around JSP’s head and locked up a ninja choke, fast as lightning. Pearce dropped to his back and tapped a split second later.

The submission finish came out of almost nowhere in a round where Brito was being dominated. Jonathan Pearce was well ahead in the fight at the time of the finish but that is the offensive potency of Joanderson Brito. That is the reason Brito has won four UFC fights in a row by finish. Perhaps the Brazilian fighter can expect a top-fifteen opponent in his next fight now.

Through a translator, Brito expressed his dissatisfaction with not getting a bonus for some past finishes and demanded a bonus for this performance with his post-fight interview.

Official Result: Joanderson Brito def. Jonathan Pearce by Submission (Ninja Choke) Round 2, 3:54

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Saragih came into this fight on the back of his Road to UFC tournament performances, where he got to the finals after two spectacular finishes, before losing to Anshul Jubli in a final that doubled as their UFC debuts. Saragih sought his first win at UFC Vegas 82, which was a big deal as the first UFC fighter from a large nation, Indonesia. Lucas Alexander came in with other ideas and as a five-to-one favorite, but it was not to be for him. He looked to build off of his first UFC win which came in his second fight, against Steven Peterson.

Alexander had a height and reach advantage that was clear when the fight began; early on he used that to land leg kicks and fire occasional two or three punch combos. Saragih had trouble firing back and soon got trapped against the fence. Jeka caught a kick and used it to escape danger by dumping Lucas to the mat. Alexander used a leg lock attempt to stand back up but the moment he got to his feet Jeka Saragih lunged forward with a left hook that caught him unawares. Lucas Alexander fell back against the fence, unconscious instantly. Jeka got one more punch in before the referee stopped the fight.

With that, Jeka Saragih and the entire nation of Indonesia got their first win in the UFC octagon in spectacular fashion. For his post-fight interview, Saragih stated (through a translator) how he had been away from his family a lot as he trained in the United States but that he would be returning to his village in Indonesia to visit them and celebrate after this.

Official Result: Jeka Saragih def. Lucas Alexander by Knockout (left hook), Round 1, 1:31

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Both fighters had lost their UFC debut, won their next fight, and then lost their most recent fight to go to 1-2 in the promotion. The winner of this fight would be on a good path at 2-2, but the loser in danger of losing their job at 1-3 in a talent-rich lightweight division. The one big difference between them was the finishing factor: Motta had finished or been finished in all of his UFC fights while Ogden had gone to decision in all of his. Whose style would win out when these two young lightweights stepped into the cage?

The fight started with a feeling out process for the first ninety seconds of the first round before Ogden lunged in for a failed takedown. Trey did get clinch control though for a good thirty seconds, where he did a good amount of damage with knees and short strikes. Motta tried to put heavy hands on Ogden but Trey either shot a takedown or used lateral movement to avoid every explosion of offense. Offensively, Ogden was essentially only a jab, but his long jab speared Motta frequently and did most of the damage of the round. In the final minute Ogden landed a powerful double leg into half-guard, where he closed out the round on top.

Motta had more success striking to start the second round, landing with his lead hand and moving forward with strikes more often. Ogden was still successful with his evasions, but Motta stuffed the first few takedowns of the round and landed more often. The jab of Ogden was still a big factor and it was hard for Motta to track him down, but by throwing out more volume, more could land for the Brazilian.

Halfway through a close round, Motta landed a hook when he trapped Ogden against the fence that caused Trey to stumble awkwardly. He seemed to recover quickly, but that big moment would loom large on the scorecards in a close round, despite the fact that Ogden made Motta’s mouth leak blood from constant jabs in this round. With forty-five seconds left Ogden landed a monster three punch combo that won him back some points. He parlayed that into his only takedown of the round and then a knee to the head when Motta stood back up right away.

A close second round meant that Ogden could have been up 20-18 going into the third round. Or it could be one round apiece, making it all to play for as the referee restarted the action for the final five minutes. Ogden got in on a single leg and dragged Motta down to open, but Motta got right back up. Trey Ogden would not be denied though and he used the clinch, another single leg, and a final switch to a double leg to land a takedown one minute into the third. Ogden straddled Motta’s legs with Nikolas’ back to the fence until Trey pivoted, dragged Motta down, and established a strong full mount. In an era in MMA where not many fighters can hold onto mount for long, it was highly impressive that Ogden did for most of the round. He stayed heavy on top and looked for the arm triangle, finally stepping off of mount to the side to finish the choke. Motta stayed calm and defended, but Ogden did not let go.

After a while of the choke being in, referee Mike Beltran began to get a bit antsy and tried to get Motta to show him he was conscious. Motta was fighting the choke and could not let go of that to give a thumbs up, so Beltran stopped the fight. Motta immediately stood up and protested but there was seemingly nothing that could be done after the finish was declared.

However everyone was surprised when the decision was announced as a no contest. Trey Ogden seemingly was on his way to a comfortable decision or finish victory, but forces outside of his control kept him from his second UFC victory. Ogden, and Paul Felder interviewing him, seemed perturbed by this turn of events.

In his post-fight interview, Trey Ogden stated his displeasure and that he has bills that need to be paid, so losing his win money due to this is a big deal. He said, “I need to get paid.” Fans will have to stay tuned to find out if the UFC brass agree to those demands, but they seem fair.

Official Result: Trey Ogden and Nikolas Motta ends in No-Contest (referee error), Round 3, 3:11

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Jiří Procházka

The Czech Samurai, Jiří Procházka, found some success but was ultimately knocked out by Alex Pereira at UFC 295. The former champ is still in title contention after his loss, but now has to get a win or two before earning another shot. There are a few notable fights in the division that will factor into who Jiří’s next opponent is: Blachowicz vs Rakic 2, Pereira vs Hill for the belt, and a likely re-booking of Ankalaev vs Walker after their recent no-contest.

The best option may be the winner of that Blachowicz vs Rakic fight. Both men are coming off of losses so one win will not be enough to get them a title shot again, but whoever gets back on track could face Procházka in a number one contender’s fight.

Prochazka’s Next Fight: Winner of Blachowicz/Rakic 2

Sergei Pavlovich

The heavyweight title fight between Tom Aspinall and Sergei Pavlovich ended in a first round knockout, to no one’s surprise, and this time it was Pavlovich who got separated from consciousness, ending the longest first round knockout streak in UFC history.

Pavlovich is still a top heavyweight contender and most of his peers are not currently booked, so options are plentiful. The most logical opponents would someone Sergei has not already fought, like Ciryl Gane, Jailton Almeida, or Alexander Volkov. Of those, Gane makes the most sense, as he brings elite striking to the table just like Pavlovich, but with a much different style. The slick point-kickboxer vs the brutal knockout artist would be a highly entertaining stylistic clash.

Pavlovich’s Next Fight: Ciryl Gane

Mackenzie Dern

Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist Mackenzie Dern lost by finish for the first time in her MMA career as former champion and fifth-ranked strawweight Jessica Andrade knocked her down four times before the referee called the fight. Dern has now traded wins and losses for her last five fights and will drop a bit in the rankings from her spot at number seven.

With Lupita Godinez winning her fight on UFC 295 in the same division, she is deserving of a fight against a higher-ranked opponent while Dern will have to fight down. ‘Loopy’ has won four straight fights and looks like a potential title challenger one day, but she will have to get past Dern to prove she belongs in the top ten.

Dern’s Next Fight: Lupita Godinez

Matt Frevola

Matt ‘Steamrolla’ Frevola is a fighter that lives by the sword and dies by the sword. His streak of fights ending in first round knockouts extended to five on Saturday, but unlike the last three, this time he was the one laid out on the canvas. Benoit St. Denis came into enemy territory and got the job done, stealing Frevola’s top-15 lightweight ranking in the process.

The Steamrolla remains a top-tier action fighter in a division full of fun foes, so there is a bevy of options out there for him. Another fight between contending lightweights goes down soon at UFC Austin as Bobby Green takes on Dan Hooker in a strikers’ delight. The winner of that fight will be too high-ranked for Frevola, but the loser would make perfect sense.

Frevola’s Next Fight: Loser of Green/Hooker

Pat Sabatini

The battle between grappling aces Pat Sabatini and Diego Lopes ended without a single takedown landed by either party. Instead, Diego Lopes showed his striking prowess as he dropped and finished the American wrestler with his hands. Sabatini is now 5-2 in the UFC, a respectable record, but will need a step down in competition next as he attempts to bounce back.

There are a few featherweight fights coming up between fighters with a similar status in the division currently: Joanderson Brito vs Jonathan Pearce and Charles Jourdain vs Sean Woodson. Brito vs Pearce takes place this week, putting the loser of that fight on a good timetable to fight Sabatini in early 2023, barring injury.

Sabatini’s Next Fight: Loser of Brito/Pearce

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The Russian machine Sergei Pavlovich entered the bout on the longest knockout streak in UFC history, with six straight, all in the first round. However Tom Aspinall may be the only man who can match him, as the British heavyweight has finished every UFC fight he has had except for the one he lost by freak injury. When two of the most dangerous men alive stepped into the cage, no one expected the fight to last too long, and it lived up to that.

They felt each other out for a bit early but Sergei still tagged Tom badly in the opening minute. Aspinall returned with leg kicks and then dropped two atom bombs in the form of right hands and that floored Pavlovich. Ground and pound rained down but the fight was over.

Tom Aspinall became the third British UFC champion after signing to fight on two weeks of notice, mirroring the first to do it, Michael Bisping who beat Luke Rockhold with two weeks of notice.

No better feeling for @AspinallMMA 👏 pic.twitter.com/r7sqI3bAqF

— UFC (@ufc) November 12, 2023

Now, Aspinall will have to wait until the situation with Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic resolves itself before either taking the vacant belt or fighting one of them for the undisputed gold.

Official Result: Tom Aspinall def. Sergei Pavlovich by KO (right hands), Round 1, 1:09

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The dynamic seemed simple coming into the bout, as with most Dern fights; Mackenzie would look for grappling situations while Andrade would look to throw hands at her. With the second-most finishes in women’s UFC history for Andrade (following Amanda Nunes) and the most submissions in strawweight history, this fight had the makings of an exciting one.

Dern came out and struck her way into a head-and-arm throw which succeeded momentarily, but Andrade popped right back to her feet. Jessica stalked forward but kept her hands holstered too often and could not land consistently. Mackenzie came back with strikes of her own which were effective but also left her open due to her wild form, as she got dropped momentarily from a counter by Andrade. The leg kicks of Andrade also damaged Dern a lot. With just five seconds left in the round Jessica got a much cleaner knockdown which clearly damaged Dern a lot and likely stole the round for Andrade.

The second round started with another wild striking exchange. The battle on the feet was fairly close until halfway through the round when Andrade scored yet another knockdown. This time, she called Dern back to the feet after the BJJ ace tried to pull guard. That pattern repeated itself again, and after the third knockdown of the round he referee stopped it, as if it was a kickboxing bout.

Official Result: Jessica Andrade def. Mackenzie Dern by TKO (punches), Round 2, 3:15

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Roberts had appeared on the newest season of ‘The Ultimate Fighter,’ where he learned under Michael Chandler on the way to a split decision loss in the semi-final. That fight, his two-fight winning streak outside the UFC, and his eight-second knockout in his first TUF fight were enough to get him another shot with the promotion when they needed someone to replace Nurillo Aliev on short notice for this fight. However his opponent was a man who entered on the draft of a fifteen-fight, nine-year winning streak, Mateusz Rebecki. As a result, the oddsmakers had the Pole as an eight-to-one favorite coming into the bout.

Mateusz Rebecki came out with his foot on the gas, pressing forward and throwing massive punches. When Roberts’ hands came up to defend, Mateusz shot for a double leg and landed it easily, settling in full guard.  Roosevelt was not easy to hold down, as he worked to sweep and then stood up from a tough position, but when he got to his feet Rębecki grabbed a back body-lock and used his strength to drag Roberts down.

Mateusz immediately got both hooks in and established back control. Roberts kept his hands up by his head to defend and then suddenly spun to get on top, but Rębecki activated his trap and went for an armbar. Roberts stacked him but the submission was locked in and Roosevelt was forced to tap, after which he held his arm in pain.

Mateusz Rebecki continued his rise with his third straight UFC win, and his first by submission. He can expect a relatively big fight in the stacked lightweight division to come next as he asked for after the fight. He does have to move fast to have a chance at a belt at thirty-one years old. Still, he clearly has potential to make waves at 155-lbs.

In his post-fight interview Rebecki called for Dana White to make a UFC event in Poland, which is not a ridiculous proposition with all the Polish and European fighters in the UFC.

Official Result: Mateusz Rebecki def. Roosevelt Roberts by Submission (armbar) Round 1, 3:08

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